Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.277923 0.328082 0.387959 0.465666 0.565279 0.690715 8.639618e-01
2025-01-26 0.208333 0.270151 0.354208 0.480942 0.674973 0.975502 1.510015e+00
2025-02-02 0.170289 0.236142 0.334703 0.501848 0.799109 1.356344 2.644693e+00
2025-02-09 0.144471 0.210619 0.317150 0.515682 0.916873 1.814017 4.540727e+00
2025-02-16 0.126925 0.192729 0.305354 0.533063 1.050020 2.425049 8.100124e+00
2025-02-23 0.112838 0.177067 0.292624 0.543010 1.173593 3.154634 1.462404e+01
2025-03-02 0.101267 0.163301 0.279693 0.547460 1.288080 4.022479 2.727604e+01
2025-03-09 0.091229 0.150441 0.265479 0.543981 1.380875 4.981018 5.225517e+01
2025-03-16 0.082152 0.137907 0.249307 0.530532 1.437205 5.915228 1.005866e+02
2025-03-23 0.077144 0.132358 0.246571 0.550583 1.625359 8.072603 3.377817e+02
2025-03-30 0.070503 0.122654 0.232961 0.536926 1.680676 9.583489 1.019628e+03
2025-04-06 0.066278 0.117262 0.228074 0.546879 1.846359 12.756880 1.253732e+04
2025-04-13 0.061446 0.110140 0.218249 0.540115 1.941006 15.922363 2.076259e+09
2025-04-20 0.058264 0.106128 0.215234 0.554429 2.162658 22.699563 NaN
2025-04-27 0.055836 0.103429 0.214977 0.578281 2.473913 35.474592 NaN
2025-05-04 0.053285 0.100142 0.212654 0.594523 2.770934 55.263023 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051136 0.097499 0.211560 0.615366 3.143440 94.306326 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048850 0.094280 0.208380 0.627348 3.481595 161.225477 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046550 0.090786 0.203888 0.632718 3.787289 280.340439 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044166 0.086858 0.197588 0.628503 4.008977 473.828268 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041650 0.082389 0.189124 0.612244 4.090452 720.195701 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040450 0.080989 0.189449 0.636491 4.704766 2565.608716 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038296 0.077059 0.181672 0.619970 4.788174 5110.359379 NaN